UPDATED OUTLOOK NOVEMBER 17TH.......Colder and potentially increased snow opportunities for the Lubbock area late Fall-2013 into Winter 2014 possible.
The latest ENSO report continues with overall neutral SST's (sea surface temperatures) in the Eastern Pacific and latest climate forecast models continue the neutral phase into the Fall - Winter Season 2013-2014. Some minor cooling..or La Nina..conditions have been observed. So as already discussed, the drought of 2010 will continue even with periodic precipitation events. These weather events could produce significant precipitation-but then extended dry weather events may last several days before the next precipitation event. Lubbock official climate data reveals continued below average precipitation with no El Nino ENO anticipated.
Current Jet Stream patterns suggest a shift toward cooler-perhaps wet pattern possible from late November into December. While 2013 precipitation totals are-on average across the region-above precip. totals of 2012, a wet late Fall-Winter season is not anticipated.
A continued drought suggests that water restrictions should continue. While the city of Lubbock is now implementing stage 1 drought rules-voluntary water restrictions should continue. Do not water during the day from 7 am-8 pm..due to high evaporation rates created by the dry weather conditions. Well water use should also follow stricter use due to the rapid depletion of the aquifer.
We'll Keep you Advised with the latest ENSO reports and extended climate forecasts.
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