UPDATED OUTLOOK...ABILENE AND BIG COUNTRY WINTER IN NEUTRAL ENSO
The latest ENSO report continues with overall neutral SST's (sea surface temperatures) in the Eastern Pacific-resulting in average-to below average precipitation opportunities. So as already discussed, the drought of 2010 will extend into 2013 even as periodic precipitation events continue. I am forecasting an active dry-line season for our region resulting in isolated-scattered thunderstorms. It is likely that these weather events will include severe thunderstorms with large-hail and damaging wind events. However, drought conditions will continue especially in the western Big Country-and the city of Abilene. The Big Country continues to suffer from moisture deficits and area reservoirs remain well below capacity. Proper use of water is encouraged and municipalities should prepare for a potential wildfire season.
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