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THIS REPORTED UPDATED 5-07-2012 **Thank you for the emails with question. Keep the feedback coming!**

The latest ENSO report is now indicating near average SST's (sea surface temperatures) in the Eastern Pacific-meaning the La Nina has ended and a neutral ENSO is underway. So expect precipitation opportunities to begin to move near average by May-June 2012. This year’s La Nina was not as strong as last year-still it will take a few weeks for the Jet Stream to react to the neutral ENSO.

Already the Jet Stream Pattern appears to be shifting to an active pattern. As previously stated, I continue to believe our region will receive more precipitation during May-June this year than last year, with a much better Monsoon season anticipated this Summer. Still, drought conditions will most likely ease this year but not end.

A continued drought suggests that water restrictions will continue. Consider alternative plant material and water after 10pm and before 6am to maximize water use. Well water use should also follow stricter use due to the rapid depletion of the aquifer.
Severe weather outbreaks in May-June are likely for the SE Plains of New Mexico and the Village of Ruidoso. Review your weather safety rules and rely on 101.5 the KID FM-1490 AM KRUI-Mix 96.7 FM-W105 FM and NERVE 107 FM... and this Weathernow Web Site for Breaking Severe Weather Coverage.

Download your free Iphone Ron Roberts Weathernow App for updated forecasts and severe weather updates. Future versions will include severe weather alerts on your Iphone.



For Southeast New Mexico--precipitation events will increase this May-June. Severe thunderstorms will increase for the Carlsbad-Roswell-Hobbs areas. Still, precipitation will not be sufficient to end the severe drought and wildfire threat-but a stronger Monsoon Season will help ease the drought this Summer .

For Ruidoso-Cloudcroft-Alamagordo--Scattered thundershowers should begin in May with a stronger Monsoon season anticipated this Summer.

Send weather questions or pictures of New Mexico weather events to rroberts@ronrobertsweather.com

Ron Roberts